Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.085953 0.100854 0.117497 0.137455 0.160732 0.187018 0.218956
2025-12-21 0.064203 0.082824 0.105595 0.135463 0.173586 0.220607 0.283013
2025-12-28 0.051696 0.072533 0.100141 0.139332 0.193484 0.265639 0.369095
2026-01-04 0.042907 0.064974 0.096415 0.144355 0.215510 0.317138 0.473312
2026-01-11 0.035740 0.058047 0.092019 0.147320 0.234931 0.368225 0.586369
2026-01-18 0.029627 0.051342 0.086509 0.147317 0.249611 0.414534 0.700470
2026-01-25 0.024017 0.044221 0.078875 0.142264 0.255023 0.446865 0.797735
2026-02-01 0.019459 0.037928 0.071356 0.135809 0.256595 0.472657 0.887978
2026-02-08 0.016395 0.033704 0.066648 0.133367 0.264615 0.510587 1.005741
2026-02-15 0.013788 0.029813 0.061802 0.129666 0.269427 0.543107 1.118506
2026-02-22 0.012157 0.027565 0.059724 0.130987 0.284171 0.596680 1.280885
2026-03-01 0.010647 0.025262 0.057098 0.130638 0.295311 0.644619 1.439433
2026-03-08 0.009030 0.022486 0.053157 0.127198 0.300320 0.683001 1.589899
2026-03-15 0.007858 0.020508 0.050636 0.126540 0.311592 0.737246 1.786335
2026-03-22 0.007156 0.019533 0.050275 0.130953 0.335643 0.824637 2.075643
2026-03-29 0.006579 0.018754 0.050248 0.136215 0.362861 0.924389 2.413382
2026-04-05 0.005968 0.017748 0.049451 0.139369 0.385451 1.017077 2.751207
2026-04-12 0.005313 0.016471 0.047684 0.139595 0.400474 1.093575 3.062060
2026-04-19 0.004570 0.014765 0.044397 0.134946 0.401377 1.133697 3.284117
2026-04-26 0.003894 0.013100 0.040880 0.128906 0.397188 1.159475 3.471926
2026-05-03 0.003429 0.011990 0.038774 0.126642 0.403610 1.215926 3.757884
2026-05-10 0.002995 0.010878 0.036429 0.123159 0.405700 1.260448 4.017613
2026-05-17 0.002732 0.010290 0.035622 0.124438 0.422968 1.353010 4.440525